Rabiu Kwankwaso, the former national leader of the New Nigeria Peoples Party and an ex-governor of Kano State, recently dumped the party and joined the coalition adopted party, the African Democratic Congress (ADC). However, three things have been identified as reasons the move could eventually favour President Bola Tinubu in the 2027 elections.
Kwankwaso’s defection came weeks after his political son and current governor of Kano state, Abba Kabir Yusuf, dumped the former minister’s camp and joined the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), a move the Kwankwasiyya Movement has described as betrayal, but the governor insisted on the need to align with ADC.
The coalition movement, which adopted the ADC as its political platform, was started by former Vice President Atiku Abubakar. The former vice president has been at the forefront of the campaign to stop the second-term ambition of President Bola Tinubu and the APC at the centre.
However, the party has been urged to maintain a united front if it is willing to actualise its aim in the 2027 presidential election. Olajumoke Victor, a political analyst, in an exclusive interview with Legit.ng, noted can only help the ADC if the party stay united.
His comment reads: ” This could strengthen the party, especially if it succeeds in building a united front with other opposition groups.” At the same time, three things that have been identified as reasons Kwankwaso’s defection could favour Tinubu are listed below:
Further Fragmentation of the Opposition Vote Kwankwaso’s defection to the ADC risks splitting opposition votes across multiple platforms, weakening any unified challenge against Bola Tinubu and the All Progressives Congress in the 2027 Nigerian general elections. This is due to the fact that Kwankwaso was not ready to surrender his presidential ambition. This is one of the reasons he did not join the APC when the ruling party approached him and why he did not align with Peter Obi ahead of the 2023 presidential election.
Unfortunately, Atiku and Obi are in ADC and have shown that they are not dropping their ambition either.
Disruption of Coalition Efforts:
His move could derail attempts to build a broad opposition alliance, creating distrust among key figures like Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, and making consensus around a single candidate more difficult. This is due to the fact that consensus is achievable where the bigwigs are willing to let go of their egos and support another candidate in an election.
However, the case of the ADC appeared different as Kwankwaso, Atiku and Obi are not ready to bow down. Potential Internal Crisis Within ADC Kwankwaso’s entry could trigger internal wrangling within the ADC over control, tickets, and party direction, weakening the party’s effectiveness and making it less capable of mounting a serious challenge, an outcome that ultimately favours the APC. This is due to the fact that Atiku, Obi and Kwankwaso will continue to jostle for the ADC’s control, tickets and party direction to actualise their presidential ambition in the 2027 elections.
2027 Election: 3 Things That May Happen to ADC if Peter Obi Fails to Get Presidential Ticket
The African Democratic Congress (ADC) presidential race intensifies with notable challengers like Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi aiming for 2027 Obi’s failure to secure the ADC 2027 presidential ticket may fracture his loyal Obidient movement and impact party unity Loss of Obi could weaken ADC’s appeal among youth voters, boosting the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC)’s advantage.
The African Democratic Congress (ADC) has attracted many presidential aspirants who are battle-ready to challenge President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the 2027 elections. Former vice president, Atiku Abubakar, the 2023 Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi, former minister of transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, and the latest on the block, Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, have all declared their intention to run in 2027.
2027 showdown: Implications of Peter Obi missing out on ADC presidential ticket.
It is a known fact that it will be a real battle to clinch the ADC 2027 presidential ticket.
1. Fragmentation of the coalition If Peter Obi fails to secure the ADC ticket, his loyal base, especially the Obidient movement, may feel sidelined. It will lead to internal cracks or even defections within the party. This pattern can be seen in the way Obi’s supporters left the Labour Party and followed him to the ADC.
The Obidients have been very vocal and clear about their demands that Obi should be given the ADC presidential ticket. Anything outside of clinching the ticket might result in serious fragmentation of the coalition.
2. Loss of youth and urban voter momentum Obi’s appeal among young, urban, and first-time voters is a major asset for any political party. The former Anambra State governor boasts of a huge followership among young Nigerians, especially from the southern and middle belt of the country. Analyst explains Without him as the flagbearer, ADC risks losing this energised demographic, weakening its national competitiveness.
The young people are the strength of the new wave of opposition, and their non-participation might give the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) a huge advantage.
3. Possible realignments or third-force collapse Failure to give Obi the ADC presidential ticket could trigger new alliances or defections. He might return to major parties or to another coalition (for example, Senator Dickson’s NDC).
This might undermine ADC’s ambition as a credible third force and weaken its popularity ahead of 2027. 2027 elections: Peter Obi’s ADC ticket uncertainty could herald coalition fragmentation.
Public reactions highlight the significance of this meeting, raising hopes for a united front against poor governance.
Presidency accused of plot to stop ADC from participating in 2027 elections Meanwhile, Senator Ali Ndume discussed the 2027 election dynamics and potential candidates to challenge President Tinubu.
Ndume argued that the African Democratic Congress (ADC) lacked fresh ideas to challenge the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).
The federal lawmaker also noted that opposition figures, Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, and Rotimi Amaechi, face internal disunity.
Source: Legit.ng 0 AUTHORS: Adekunle Dada (Politics and Current Affairs Editor)
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