By Prince Munir Adebowale
Those who win in elections are those who work hard, Who start early to prepare, Not those who sleep and then wake up expecting Angel Michael or Raphael to perform an electoral miracle. 2023 looked like a miracle for Peter Obi and Atiku. Why?
The APC was not united. The Aso Rock cabal led by Mamman Daura and Malami threatened the APC Governors that if they helped Tinubu canvas for votes their re-election was going to be sabotaged. That was why the APC won most of the House of Assembly seats in Zamfara, plus the presidency but lost the Governorship seat. Reason?
Bello Muhammed Matawalle refused to obey them, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai also nearly lost Kaduna because of the same reason. The Lagos state government couldn’t even help Tinubu. The cabal hijacked the system, Obi won Lagos, but couldn’t win one single senate seat, and out of 25 House of Representatives seats, APC won 20 LP won 3.
Mathematically it didn’t reflect the tsunami like that should take more seat and Senate seats, same voters…same time…
But 2027 is going to be different. The APC is united and bigger and stronger. I tell people that electoral victory is not a battle of personalities but of structures.The election isn’t going to be Tinubu vs Obi/Atiku, it’s going to be massive APC structures vs kwashiorkor sick ADC structure. Don’t mind my funny use of words. I am being objective here. In my Village for instance, there’s no ADC but APC, they have offices and ward leaders in almost every kindred who will be telling their kinsmen where to vote.
They’ll also be at the polling units on election day to convince voters to vote APC and they’ll defend the votes too. That’s how elections are won. Peter Obi said in 2023 that he didn’t need structures, that they were “structures of corruption”. When I heard that I knew Obi is not a serious politician. The irony was that he was using the structures of the Catholic Church and other churches to campaign and mobilize for votes. One day while I thought about what Peter Obi said, the spirit of God opened my eyes and showed me that, even God Himself loses in communities where they don’t have Churches, where they only have beer parlours, ashawo joints, drug dealers, night clubs, etc. So to counter satan what does God do under such circumstances?
He sends in a pastor to start a church there, do a crusade and start spreading the word of God and planting cell units. This is how it works in politics too, but as it stands ADC have no structure nationwide and this is February 2026 when APC have 29 Governors standing with their state structures. What miracles are they going to be expecting? The North Central states of Kogi, Kwara, Plateau, Benue, Niger , Nassarawa, FCT will fall to the APC, will you surprised I add FCT and Plateau, places Obi won in 2023?
Emperor Wike is in the FCT, he will deliver it by hook or crook. Also, there have been re-alignments in Plateau, the South West is on a lockdown, APC will run away with at least four states in the South South, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Edo, Bayelsa.These states have real “commanders-in-chief”, powerful party men who will deliver them by all means necessary. Cross Rivers and Delta is always a probability, they’re gentlemen, the South East is Obedient. The APC will only go there to do spoiler. The North East is Atiku’s home. APC may just pick Borno state from there, The North West will be a war zone, and already the APC is cruising home in victory. The North West will have Atiku and Kwankwaso as contenders but APC is strong in those states! In Kaduna, Kano, katsina, Sokoto and the rest, APC will pick Sokoto, Katsina and Kaduna because they have strong men that will deliver it anyhow. They’ll just grab what they can from Kano and the rest.
See, Tinubu’s victory isn’t going to be because his performance as president has been excellent, which it has because he is doing amazing reforms alone but because of the weakness of the opposition. The divisions that exist in the North currently negates the possibility of giving bulk votes in the region.
The disparity between APC’s massive structures vs the almost non existent structure of the opposition is an indicator that the opposition to Tinubu’s second term is paperweight as it stands today.
When it comes to the influence of money politics, the power of political alignments and collaborations, APC’s control of institutions, the APC is by far the most prepared than the coming elections making any APC landslide victory a real possibility.


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