Basil Okoh
The BBC news of the meeting of ECOWAS Defense Chiefs in Accra, Ghana clearly reports that plans have been agreed to invade the Republic of Niger to restore Democracy and constitutional order. The plan has been endorsed by ECOWAS Heads of States and a date for invasion of Niamey, capital of Niger has been chosen.
The chairman of ECOWAS and president of Nigeria, Bola Tinubu, himself unelected, assumed the presidency of his country by coup against the Nigerian constitution and the Electoral Act. He has signed off on the invasion. He needs to win the favours and endorsement of France and the United States to live and gain international acceptance and renown.
The West needs to use ECOWAS armies as proxies to fight and die for Western vested interests in Niger and the Sahel where Russian Private Military Company Wagner PMC are inordinately taking control.
Besides other ancillary threats, deploying Western or NATO military forces to confront Wagner Russian soldiers in the Sahel will spark direct superpower military confrontation. This could lead to avoidable nuclear war and so should be avoided. Win or lose, West African soldiers are expendable and better suited for the operation, especially for maintaining a façade of good international order between Russia and NATO.
The Western powers need to use West African forces to achieve the limited military objective of removing a rogue government in Niamey. In that operation, African soldiers will be the fighters to possibly take on Russian fighters in Niamey for the overall benefit of the West.
Some facts of war need to be noted here by the new West Africa Frontier Force:
- No army fights a war without recording casualties of it’s own. People must die on both sides of the war. Remember John Pepper-Clarks poem of the Nigerian Civil War: “Casualties”.
- No army fights a war without heavy costs on its national economy. The West will avoid taking direct hits and costs from the “ECOWAS War”. The economies of the West African countries are already in the doldrums. None of them even have jet fighter aircrafts.
- So the Euro-American nations priming ECOWAS to go to war and restore constitutional order in Niger want to kill many birds with one stone:
A. They will avoid casualties of their own soldiers and people. Casualties of their own soldiers will earn political consequences in their home countries.
B. They will not pay the cost of war but will gain all the benefits in political control, access to military bases and plunder of mineral mines and deposits in Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali.
C. The West will continue to sustain their geopolitical power and control over ECOWAS.
Please note that Europe has never taken military action to enforce democracy in their own continent. We’ve had fascism in Italy, Southern and Eastern Europe. There has been Nazism in Germany, Falangists in Spain and Soviet Socialism in the defunct Soviet Union and client European Nations. Socialism was sustained in the entire Eastern Europe for seventy years. None was forced by military action to return to democracy.
Let us not forget also that the Senate of the Federal Republic of Nigeria has rejected Bola Tinubu’s application and refused him consent to wage war on Niger.
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